Once again, here is another
ignorant idea about our economy that your average 4th grader could
recognize as being untrue. To see why I say this, let us assume that you sell
pumpkins for $5.00 each and I want to buy one from you. How would you change the price of
the pumpkin so that the resulting change would be “good for the economy"?
It should be painfully obvious to
you that it is impossible to do so. No matter which direction we move the
price, as good as the change is for one of us, that change will always be
equally bad for the other. So, if the idea of low prices being “good for the
economy” is so obviously not true, how is it that so many people believe so
strongly in it? There are several reasons, but we will only focus on
two of the main ones.
First of all, the economy is so large
and so complicated that it is not clear to the average consumer what the impact
is of his/her purchase decisions. So whenever a consumer “saves” some money on
their purchase, they cannot see who is actually taking the “loss” on the other
end.
Secondly, due to a complete lack
of any meaningful economic training in our educational system, the average
American is completely unaware that there is a huge difference between looking
at the world from a business perspective and looking at the world from an economic
perspective.
Looking at the world from a business
perspective only requires you to look at the world from a singular
perspective; that is, from the perspective of one business, one household, one individual,
etc. In each of these cases, income and expenses are separate from each other.
So if you are a baker and the price of flour goes up, then that is “bad” for
your business because your expenses just went up. On the other hand, if you can
raise the price of the bread that you sell, then that is “good” because your
income just went up.
In contrast, when you are looking
at the world from an economic perspective, you always
have to look at things from multiple perspectives. From the standpoint of the
economy as a whole, there are always two sides to every price. On one side of the
price tag you have income to the seller and on the other side of the price tag you
have an expense for the buyer.
So from an economic perspective, if
the price of flour goes up, it will be bad for the baker, but good for the
flour maker. If the price of bread goes up, it will be good for the baker, but
bad for the consumer. So overall it is not clear if a price movement is good or
bad for the economy because one side’s gain always appears to be the other
side’s loss.
Unfortunately for all of us, due
to our weak educational system, most Americans are only capable of looking at
the world from their own singular perspective. Therefore, they tend to naively assume
that price movements are either good or bad; they tend to assume that a price
increase is “bad” (because it appears to be bad from their individual
perspective) and that a price decrease is “good” (because it appears to be good
from their individual perspective). Not surprisingly, these people have been easily
fooled by big companies like Wal-Mart into believing that “low prices are good
for the economy”, simply because low prices appear to be “good” for them as an
individual consumer.
What everyone needs to understand
is that prices are like a thermometer. A thermometer can provide us useful
information about a patient, but it will not affect the health of the patient;
that is, a thermometer is not going to make you sicker or healthier.
Similarly, prices can provide us
useful information about what is going on in the economy, but they do not drive
the economy. So lower prices are not “good” for the economy and higher prices
are not “good” for the economy. The different price levels simply relay
information to us about what forces are at work in the economy.
#EconomistsAreMorons
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